Dataset Information

Association Between Serum Bilirubin and Atrial Fibrillation: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

ABSTRACT:

Background and objectives

The association between bilirubin and atrial fibrillation (AF) has been evaluated previously in observational studies but with contradictory results. This study evaluated the causal association between serum bilirubin level and AF using Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis.

Methods

This cross-sectional study includes 8,977 participants from the Dong-gu Study. In the observational analysis, multivariate logistic regression was performed to evaluate the association between bilirubin and prevalent AF. To evaluate the causal association between bilirubin and AF, MR analysis was conducted by using the UGT1A1 rs11891311 and rs4148323 polymorphisms as instrumental variables.

Results

Elevated serum bilirubin levels were associated with an increased risk for AF in observational analysis (total bilirubin: odds ratio [OR], 1.31; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.15-1.48 per 1 standard deviation [SD]; direct bilirubin: OR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.18-1.46 per 1 SD), whereas the genetically predicted serum bilirubin levels in MR analysis did not show this association (total bilirubin: OR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.67-1.53 per 1 SD; direct bilirubin: OR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.61-1.73 per 1 SD).

Conclusions

Genetically predicted bilirubin levels were not associated with prevalent AF. Thus, the observational association between serum bilirubin levels and AF may be non-causal and affected by reverse causality or unmeasured confounding.

SUBMITTER: Kim SW

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10406528 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Association Between Serum Bilirubin and Atrial Fibrillation: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

Kim Si-Woo SW Yang Jung-Ho JH Kweon Sun-Seog SS Lee Young-Hoon YH Choi Seong-Woo SW Ryu So-Yeon SY Nam Hae-Sung HS Kim Hye-Yeon HY Shin Min-Ho MH

Korean circulation journal 20230419 7

<h4>Background and objectives</h4>The association between bilirubin and atrial fibrillation (AF) has been evaluated previously in observational studies but with contradictory results. This study evaluated the causal association between serum bilirubin level and AF using Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis.<h4>Methods</h4>This cross-sectional study includes 8,977 participants from the Dong-gu Study. In the observational analysis, multivariate logistic regression was performed to evaluate the as ...[more]

PMID: 37271750

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Project description:BackgroundObservational studies about the association between serum total bilirubin and cholelithiasis are inconsistent. Hence, it is essential to reevaluate the association between serum total bilirubin and cholelithiasis and to verify whether such association is causal or not.MethodsWe selected single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that are strongly associated with exposure as instrumental variable and conducted a bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study to explore the causal association between serum total bilirubin and cholelithiasis. We implemented the inverse-variance weighted approach as a primary analysis to combine the Wald ratio estimates. Four additional analyses, namely, MR-Egger regression, weighted median, weighted mode, and MR-pleiotropy residual sum and outlier (PRESSO), were utilized to investigate the causal association and the influence of potential pleiotropy.ResultsA total of 116 SNPs were selected as valid instrumental variables to estimate the causal association of serum total bilirubin on cholelithiasis, and causal association between genetically determined serum total bilirubin and cholelithiasis was demonstrated [beta = 0.10; 95% confident interval (CI), 0.07 to 0.14; p < 0.001]. Likewise, the other methods, namely, the weighted median (beta = 0.12; 95% CI, 0.08 to 0.15; p < 0.001), MR-Egger (beta = 0.11; 95% CI, 0.08 to 0.15; p < 0.001), weighted mode (beta = 0.11; 95% CI, 0.08 to 0.15; p < 0.001), and MR-PRESSO approaches, further confirmed that this result (p = 0.054) indicates similar results. In addition, seven SNPs were selected as instrumental variable to estimate causal association of cholelithiasis on serum total bilirubin, and the result supported the causal effect of cholelithiasis to serum total bilirubin (beta = 0.12; 95% CI, 0.09 to 0.15; p < 0.001). At the same time, the other methods, namely, the weighted median (beta = 0.10; 95% CI, 0.06 to 0.13; p < 0.001), MR-Egger (beta = 0.12; 95% CI, 0.07 to 0.18; p = 0.007), weighted mode (beta = 0.09; 95% CI, 0.03 to 0.14, p = 0.019), and MR-PRESSO methods, further confirmed this result (p < 0.001).ConclusionOur MR study revealed that the serum total bilirubin was causally associated with the risk of cholelithiasis, and the genetic predisposition to cholelithiasis was causally associated with the increased serum total bilirubin levels.

Project description:Background The knowledge gap regarding whether the correlation between atrial fibrillation (AF) and dementia in observational studies is causation or driven by other shared risk factors remains substantially unfilled. Methods and Results We performed a comprehensive 2-sample Mendelian randomization study to evaluate the causal effect of AF on overall dementia and its subtypes, including vascular dementia, Alzheimer dementia, Lewy body dementia, and frontotemporal dementia. The primary results in inverse variance-weighted analyses were further validated by various Mendelian randomization sensitivity analyses. Additionally, we conducted multivariable Mendelian randomization to examine 10 candidate mediators of the causal association of AF and dementia. Genetic predisposition to AF was modestly associated with an increased risk of overall dementia (odds ratio, 1.140 [95% CI, 1.023-1.271]; P=0.018) and strongly associated with vascular dementia (odds ratio, 1.350 [95% CI, 1.076-1.695]; P=0.010). Genetically predicted AF indicated neutral effects on Alzheimer dementia, Lewy body dementia, and frontotemporal dementia. In multivariable Mendelian randomization analysis, the total effect of AF on overall dementia was remarkably attenuated by adjusting for genetic effect for ischemic stroke (odds ratio, 1.068 [95% CI, 0.953-1.197]; P=0.259) and low cardiac output (odds ratio, 1.046 [95% CI, 0.926-1.181]; P=0.475), indicating that the causal association of genetically predicted AF with dementia was potentially mediated by ischemic stroke and low cardiac output. The causal effect of genetically predicted AF on dementia was independent of cerebral small-vessel disease and brain volume phenotypes. Conclusions Our findings provided novel evidence supporting the causal effect of genetically predicted AF on dementia mediated by ischemic stroke and low cardiac output. Future clinical trials are warranted to evaluate the potential role of appropriate AF management in dementia prevention.

Dataset Information

Association Between Serum Bilirubin and Atrial Fibrillation: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

Background and objectives

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Association Between Serum Bilirubin and Atrial Fibrillation: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

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